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US GDP Q2 Growth Revised Down From Various Factors, GDI Still Lethargic

US DATA
  • Real GDP was softer than expected in the second Q2 release, revised down to 2.06% annualized (cons 2.4) after 2.41% in the first release, following 2.00% for Q1, and showing no sign of stronger momentum behind the surging Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates for Q3.
  • Personal consumption was revised higher by marginally less than expected to 1.67% (cons 1.8) from 1.64%.
  • The main contributions to downward revisions instead came from changes in inventories (-0.23pps), non-residential investment (-0.19pps) and net exports (-0.1pps) rather than one category in isolation.
  • Away from revisions, final sales to domestic purchasers dominate the overall contribution at 2.4pps, whilst changes in inventories and net exports see small drags on the quarter.
  • Separately, first details for Gross Domestic Income (GDI) show a tepid 0.49% annualized in Q2 after two quarters averaging -2.6% annualized. It leaves an average for GDP/GDI growth at just 1.3% annualized albeit an acceleration from 0.1% in Q1 and -0.4% in Q4.

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