US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Oct-17   Sep-17   Aug-17   Jul-17   Jun-17   May-17

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UI Claims/4wk avg

wk 1                        244/258  298/250  244/241  250/244  245/242  238/243

wk 2                        222/248  281/263  232/241  248/246  238/243  236/244

wk 3                                 260/269  235/238  234/244  242/245  233/241

wk 4                                 269/277  236/237  245/244  244/242  235/236

wk 5                                 258/267           241/242           255/240

Nonfarm Payrolls                        -33k    +169k    +138k    +210k    +145k

Private Payrolls                        -40k    +164k    +133k    +207k    +153k

Mfg Payroll                              -1k     +41k     -11k     +21k     Flat

Unemployment                            4.2%     4.4%     4.3%     4.4%     4.3%

Avg Wkly Hours                          34.4     34.4     34.4     34.5     34.4

Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.7     40.7     40.9     40.8     40.7

Aggr Hours Index                       -0.1%    +0.2%    -0.2%    +0.5%    -0.2%

Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                    Flat    -0.2%    +0.2%    +0.3%     Flat

Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.2%

Final Demand PPI                       +0.4%    +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.1%     Flat

excl food & energy                     +0.4%    +0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%

excl food, energy, trade               +0.2%    +0.2%     Flat    +0.2%    -0.1%

CPI                                    +0.5%    +0.4%    +0.1%     Flat    -0.1%

excl food & energy                     +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%

Import Prices                          +0.7%    +0.6%    -0.1%    -0.2%    -0.1%

non-petro import prices                +0.3%    +0.3%    -0.1%    +0.1%     Flat

ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 71.5     62.0     62.0     55.0     60.5

Core PCE Price Index                            +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%

Treasury Budget (bn)                  +$8.00  -$107.7   -$42.9   -$90.2   -$88.4

Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$13.1   +$17.7   +$11.5   +$18.1

CB Consumer Confidence                 119.8    120.4    120.0    117.3    117.6

Consumer Sentiment            101.1     95.1     96.8     93.4     95.1     97.1

Car Sales, saar (mn)                     4.6      4.0      4.2      4.0      4.2

Truck Sales, saar (mn)                   9.6      8.3      8.7      8.8      8.5

Total, saar (mn)                        14.2     12.3     12.9     12.8     12.7

Retail Sales                           +1.6%    -0.1%    +0.5%    -0.1%     Flat

excl motor vehicles                    +1.0%    +0.5%    +0.5%    -0.2%    -0.2%

Personal Income                                 +0.2%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.3%

Personal Spending                               +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.2%

ISM Mfg Index                           60.8     58.8     56.3     57.8     54.9

ISM Nonmfg NMI                          59.8     55.3     53.9     57.4     56.9

MNI Chicago Report                      65.2     58.9     58.9     65.7     59.4

Phila Fed Mfg Index            27.9     23.8     18.9     19.5     27.6     38.8

Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                  33.2     31.8     23.4     33.6     25.6

Empire State Index             30.2     24.4     25.2      9.8     19.8     -1.0

Markit Mfg Index                        53.1     52.8     53.3     52.0     52.7

Markit Services Index                   55.3     56.0     54.6     54.2     53.6

Ind Production                         +0.3%    -0.7%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%

Capacity Util                          76.0%    75.8%    76.5%    76.6%    76.6%

Factory Orders                                  +1.2%    -3.3%    +3.2%    -0.3%

Factory Orders ex

transport                                       +0.4%    +0.5%    +0.1%    -0.1%

Durables                                        +2.0%    -6.8%    +6.4%     Flat

Durables ex transport                           +0.5%     +0.8     Flat    +0.8%

Nondurables                                     +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.2%    -0.6%

Mfg Shipments                                   +0.5%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%

Business Inventories                            +0.7%    +0.3%    +0.5%    +0.3%

Factory                                         +0.4%    +0.2%     +0.3    -0.2%

Retail                                          +0.7%     Flat    +0.6%    +0.6%

Wholesale                                       +0.9%     +0.6    +0.6%    +0.6%

Housing Starts (mn)                    1.127    1.183    1.185    1.217    1.129

Building Permits (mn)                  1.215    1.272    1.230    1.275    1.168

NAHB Index                       68       64       67       64       66       69

New Home Sales (k)                                560      580      614      606

Existing Homes (mn)                     5.39     5.35     5.44     5.51     5.62

Pending Home Sales Index                        106.3    109.1    110.0    108.6

Construct Spending                              +0.5%    -1.2%    -0.8%    +1.6%

Private Residential                             +0.4%    +0.2%    +1.2%    +0.7%

Trade Balance (bn)                             -$42.4   -$43.6   -$43.5   -$46.4

Exports (bn)                                   $195.3   $194.5   $194.9   $192.3

Imports (bn)                                   $237.7   $238.1   $238.5   $238.7

Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$64.4   -$65.3   -$65.4   -$66.3

Leading Index                          -0.2%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.6%    +0.3%

                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17

GDP (chain-wt)                                           +3.1%             +1.2%

Final Sales                                              +2.9%             +2.7%

Chain prices                                             +1.0%             +2.0%

Current-dollar                                           +4.1%             +3.3%

                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17

Nonfarm Productivity                                     +1.5%             +0.1%

Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                 +0.2%             +4.8%

                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17

ECI (q/q)                                                +0.5%             +0.8%

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com

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