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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Mar-19   Feb-19   Jan-19   Dec-18   Nov-18   Oct-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        229/224  235/225  216/222  206/225  221/217  215/210
wk 2                                 239/232  212/221  217/223  224/219  210/212
wk 3                                 217/236  200/215  221/220  234/223  216/212
wk 4                                 226/229  253/220  233/219  231/228  215/214
wk 5                                 223/226                             214/214
Nonfarm Payrolls                        +20k    +311k    +227k    +196k    +277k
Private Payrolls                        +25k    +308k    +224k    +200k    +285k
Mfg Payroll                              +4k     +21k     +20k     +27k     +29k
Unemployment                            3.8%     4.0%     3.9%     3.7%     3.8%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.4     34.5     34.5     34.4     34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.7     40.8     40.9     40.8     40.8
Aggr Hours Index                       -0.3%    +0.3%    +0.5%    -0.2%    +0.3%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                   -0.2%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.2%     Flat
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.2%
Final Demand PPI                       +0.1%    -0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.5%
excl food & energy                     +0.1%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.3%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.1%    +0.2%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.1%
CPI                                    +0.2%     Flat     Flat     Flat    +0.3%
excl food & energy                     +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Import Prices                           +0.6    +0.1%    -1.4%    -1.6%    +0.5%
non-petro import prices                +0.1%    -0.6%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                          49.6     54.9     60.7     71.6
PCE Price Index M/M                                      +0.1%     Flat    +0.2%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                                      +1.7%    +1.8%    +2.0%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                                 +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                                 +1.7%    +1.8%    +2.0%
Treasury Budget (bn)                            +$8.7   -$13.5  -$204.9  -$100.5
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$17.0   +$15.4   +$22.1   +$25.4
CB Consumer Confidence                 131.4    121.7    126.6    136.4    137.9
Consumer Sentiment                      93.8     91.2     98.3     97.5     98.6
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                              2.5      2.6      2.5      2.7
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn)                                         4.6      5.0      4.9      4.9
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                              7.1      7.5      7.4      7.6
Retail Sales                                    +0.2%    -1.6%     Flat    +1.0%
excl motor vehicles                             +0.9%    -2.1%    -0.1%    +0.8%
Personal Income                                 -0.1%    +1.0%    +0.3%    +0.5%
Personal Spending                                        -0.5%    +0.6%    +0.7%
ISM Mfg Index                           54.2     56.6     54.3     58.8     57.5
ISM Nonmfg NMI                          59.7     56.7     58.0     60.4     60.0
MNI Chicago Report                      64.7     56.7     63.8     63.5     59.4
Phila Fed Mfg Index                     -4.1     17.0      9.1     11.9     19.7
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                  10.0      1.0      7.7     35.5     34.7
Empire State Index                                3.9     11.5     21.4     20.0
KC Fed Mfg Index                           1        5        6       17       10
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                             -2       -8       14       15
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                    13.1      1.0     -5.1     17.6     29.4
Markit Mfg Index                        53.0     54.9     53.8     55.4     55.7
Markit Services Index                   56.2     54.2     54.4     54.7     54.8
Ind Production                         +0.1%    -0.4%    +0.1%    +0.6%    +0.3%
Capacity Util                          78.2%    78.3%    78.7%    78.8%    78.4%
Factory Orders                                  +0.1%    +0.1%    -0.5%    -2.1%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       -0.2%    -0.5%    -1.3%    +0.2%
Durables                                        +0.3%    +1.3%    +0.9%    -4.3%
Durables ex transport                           -0.2%    +0.3%    -0.2%    +0.4%
Nondurables                                     -0.2%    -1.1%    -2.0%    +0.1%
Mfg Shipments                                            +0.8%    +1.0%    -0.3%
Business Inventories                                     +0.6%     Flat    +0.6%
Factory                                                   Flat    -0.1%    +0.2%
Retail                                                   +0.9%    -0.4%    +0.8%
Wholesale                                                +1.1%    +0.4%    +0.9%
Housing Starts (mn)                             1.230    1.037    1.206    1.209
Building Permits (mn)                           1.317    1.326    1.322    1.265
NAHB Index                       62       62       58       56       60       60
New Home Sales (k)                                607      652      628      549
Existing Homes (mn)                              4.94     5.00     5.21     5.22
Pending Home Sales Index                                  99.0    101.2    102.1
Construct Spending                              +1.3%    -0.8%    -1.3%    +0.2%
Private Residential                             -0.3%    -1.9%    -0.6%    -0.7%
Trade Balance (bn)                                      -$59.8   -$50.3   -$56.3
Exports (bn)                                           +$205.1  +$209.1  +$210.4
Imports (bn)                                           +$264.8  +$259.4  +$266.7
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                                    -$81.5   -$72.6   -$78.9
Leading Index                                            -0.1%    +0.2%    -0.3%
                                                         Q4-18
GDP (chain-wt)                                           +2.6%
Final Sales                                              +2.5%
Chain prices                                             +1.8%
Current-dollar                                           +4.6%
                                                         Q4-18
Nonfarm Productivity                                     +1.9%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                 +2.0%
                                                         Q4-18
ECI (q/q)                                                +0.7%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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