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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - NFP Followed by Ample Fedspeak
MNI US OPEN - Soft NFP Report Should Cement December Cut
MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 6
US TSY OPTION IMPLIED VOL/OTC SWAPTION VOL FOR DEC 26
EST IMPLIED VOLATILITY/AVG ATM OPTIONS VIA BLOOMBERG, (All Times ET)
USF USH TYF TYH FVF FVH EDF EDH
TUE 1300 6.42% 7.46% 3.34% 4.02% 1.75% 2.44% 12.75% 11.85%
TUE OPEN 6.21% 7.33% 3.25% 4.01% 1.83% 2.39% 11.99% 11.70%
MON 1500 6.48% 7.26% 3.24% 3.95% 1.83% 2.36% 11.55% 11.05%
MON OPEN 6.45% 7.18% 3.12% 3.90% 1.83% 2.33% 12.30% 11.49%
FRI 1500 5.80% 7.13% 3.01% 3.85% 1.63% 2.32% 12.40% 10.80%
FRI OPEN 6.35% 7.12% 3.28% 3.85% 1.87% 2.31% 11.65% 10.75%
THU 1500 6.47% 7.14% 3.35% 3.82% 1.88% 2.34% 13.30% 10.50%
THU OPEN 6.90% 7.19% 3.52% 3.84% 2.00% 2.32% 12.79% 11.20%
LARGEST O/I: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
JAN20 10Y NOTE 131.00 C 154,691 UNCH 128.00 P 76,136 -4,042
MAR20 10Y NOTE 131.00 C 72,544 UNCH 117.50 P 66,948 UNCH
JAN20 5Y NOTE 120.50 C 71,087 UNCH 118.25 P 49,711 +1,275
MAR20 5Y NOTE 119.00 C 31,486 +1 111.00 P 251,174 UNCH
JAN20 2Y NOTE 108.00 C 10,738 UNCH 107.62 P 12,276 -200
MAR20 2Y NOTE 110.37 C 7,692 UNCH 105.75 P 55,165 UNCH
JAN20 EURODLR 98.50 C 126,858 UNCH 98.12 P 117,507 -162
MAR20 EURODLR 98.37 C 468,945 +20,749 98.25 P 540,685 -511
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.75 C 247,313 UNCH 98.25 P 79,737 UNCH
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.25 C 79,246 UNCH 97.37 P 96,133 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.12 C 53,469 UNCH 97.62 P 29,500 UNCH
NEAREST ATM: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
JAN20 10Y NOTE 128.00 C 11,501 -508 128.00 P 76,136 -4,042
JAN20 10Y NOTE 128.50 C 39,544 +2,668 128.50 P 71,739 +639
MAR20 10Y NOTE 128.00 C 9,951 +101 128.00 P 35,215 +458
MAR20 10Y NOTE 128.50 C 24,571 +280 128.50 P 19,154 -176
JAN20 5Y NOTE 118.25 C 8,506 +1,578 118.25 P 49,711 +1,275
JAN20 5Y NOTE 118.50 C 32,631 +147 118.50 P 29,633 -6
MAR20 5Y NOTE 118.25 C 2,620 -28 118.25 P 7,588 UNCH
MAR20 5Y NOTE 118.50 C 12,649 UNCH 118.50 P 19,181 UNCH
JAN20 2Y NOTE 107.62 C 3,641 UNCH 107.62 P 12,276 -200
JAN20 2Y NOTE 107.75 C 6,337 +12 107.75 P 6,844 -320
MAR20 2Y NOTE 107.62 C 565 UNCH 107.62 P 3,212 UNCH
MAR20 2Y NOTE 107.75 C 1,055 UNCH 107.75 P 2,720 UNCH
JAN20 EURODLR 98.25 C 70,593 UNCH 98.25 P 90,875 -5,268
JAN20 EURODLR 98.37 C 75,290 UNCH 98.37 P 25,287 -2,135
MAR20 EURODLR 98.25 C 376,520 -30,051 98.25 P 540,685 -500
MAR20 EURODLR 98.37 C 468,945 +20,749 98.37 P 270,786 UNCH
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 98.37 C 72,771 UNCH 98.37 P 73,350 UNCH
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 98.50 C 63,069 -470 98.50 P 50,900 UNCH
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.37 C 31,398 UNCH 98.37 P 31,076 UNCH
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.50 C 35,011 UNCH 98.50 P 30,640 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.37 C 10,499 UNCH 98.37 P 15,376 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.50 C 44,729 UNCH 98.50 P 7,719 UNCH
PUT/CALL RATIO FOR VOLUME CLEARED:
JAN20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.57 (43,783 PUTS VS. 27,838 CALLS)
MAR20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.94 (20,002 PUTS VS. 21,129 CALLS)
JAN20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.83 (8,293 PUTS VS. 9,867 CALLS)
MAR20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.54 (2,580 PUTS VS. 4,697 CALLS)
JAN20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 23.4 (820 PUTS VS. 35 CALLS)
MAR20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.00 (0 PUTS VS. 0 CALLS)
JAN20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.00 (15,930 PUTS VS. 0 CALLS)
MAR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.27 (71,936 PUTS VS. 265,204 CALLS)
MAR21 1Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.00 (0 PUTS VS. 4,852 CALLS)
MAR22 2Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.00 (3,700 PUTS VS. 0 CALLS)
MAR23 3Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.00 (0 PUTS VS. 0 CALLS)
(VOLUME, OPEN INTEREST, RATIOS ALL REFLECT PRIOR SESSION'S DATA)
Swaption BP/Vol Via Bloomberg:
Time (ET) 3M/2Y 1M/10Y 3M/5Y 3M/10Y 2Y/10Y 5Y/5Y
Thu 1300 48.22 63.13 61.51 64.54 64.50 64.73
Tue Open 46.11 61.47 60.66 63.71 64.21 64.71
Mon 1500 46.54 61.02 60.37 63.37 64.16 64.65
Mon Open 46.29 61.08 60.25 63.26 64.05 64.61
Fri 1500 46.27 60.47 60.34 63.38 64.09 64.62
Fri Open 46.63 60.53 60.39 63.45 64.15 64.67
Thu 1500 46.13 59.85 60.32 63.34 63.92 64.50
Thu Open 46.28 60.10 60.25 63.40 64.18 64.65
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.