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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - NFP Followed by Ample Fedspeak
MNI US OPEN - Soft NFP Report Should Cement December Cut
MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 6
US TSY OPTION IMPLIED VOL/OTC SWAPTION VOL FOR FEB 14
EST IMPLIED VOLATILITY/AVG ATM OPTIONS VIA BLOOMBERG, (All Times ET)
USH USJ TYH TYJ FVH FVJ EDG EDH
1230 7.28% 7.56% 3.68% 3.95% 2.20% 2.61% N/A 17.31%
1000 7.24% 7.55% 3.71% 3.98% 2.11% 2.60% N/A 16.85%
FRI OPEN 7.22% 7.55% 3.90% 4.00% 2.06% 2.60% N/A 16.30%
THU 1500 7.56% 7.90% 3.97% 4.18% 2.56% 2.66% N/A 15.95%
THU OPEN 8.29% 8.00% 4.12% 4.22% 2.64% 2.67% N/A 17.40%
WED 1500 7.69% 7.75% 4.04% 4.11% 2.44% 2.67% N/A 16.40%
WED OPEN 7.81% 7.81% 4.05% 4.10% 2.41% 2.65% N/A 16.35%
TUE 1500 8.28% 7.99% 4.25% 4.25% 2.69% 2.72% N/A 18.10%
TUE OPEN 8.54% 7.65% 4.38% 4.36% 2.69% 2.71% N/A 17.15%
MON 1500 8.82% 8.36% 4.50% 4.40% 2.88% 2.80% N/A 18.45%
MON OPEN 8.84% 8.17% 4.43% 4.27% 2.80% 2.72% N/A 17.27%
LARGEST O/I: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
MAR20 10Y NOTE 131.50 C 150,505 +2,886 130.00 P 136,405 +6,728
APR20 10Y NOTE 131.00 C 75,021 +3,735 129.00 P 94,874 +1,722
MAR20 5Y NOTE 119.00 C 45,738 -5 111.00 P 252,174 UNCH
APR20 5Y NOTE 121.50 C 48,887 +4 119.50 P 59,423 +919
MAR20 2Y NOTE 108.00 C 9,420 +3 105.75 P 55,165 UNCH
APR20 2Y NOTE 108.50 C 3,402 UNCH 108.00 P 3,794 UNCH
FEB20 EURODLR 99.12 C 164,000 UNCH 98.25 P 105,859 UNCH
MAR20 EURODLR 98.50 C 544,090 +300 98.12 P 409,726 UNCH
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.75 C 238,047 UNCH 98.37 P 175,808 -25,473
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.25 C 78,546 UNCH 98.25 P 100,183 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.12 C 53,469 UNCH 98.12 P 38,842 UNCH
NEAREST ATM: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
MAR20 10Y NOTE 130.50 C 112,474 -555 130.50 P 81,060 -4,084
MAR20 10Y NOTE 131.00 C 113,823 -259 131.00 P 47,272 -817
APR20 10Y NOTE 130.50 C 34,013 -345 130.50 P 29,218 -2,719
APR20 10Y NOTE 131.00 C 75,021 +3,735 131.00 P 26,862 +1,593
MAR20 5Y NOTE 119.75 C 20,520 -811 119.75 P 21,095 +707
MAR20 5Y NOTE 120.00 C 35,850 +276 120.00 P 12,121 +183
APR20 5Y NOTE 120.00 C 14,676 +100 120.00 P 16,691 +20
APR20 5Y NOTE 120.25 C 7,893 +541 120.25 P 5,182 +309
MAR20 2Y NOTE 107.88 C 5,053 UNCH 107.88 P 9,982 -300
MAR20 2Y NOTE 108.00 C 9,420 +3 108.00 P 1,347 UNCH
APR20 2Y NOTE 107.88 C 441 UNCH 107.88 P 3,475 +5
APR20 2Y NOTE 108.00 C 196 UNCH 108.00 P 3,794 UNCH
FEB20 EURODLR 98.25 C 64,927 UNCH 98.25 P 105,859 UNCH
FEB20 EURODLR 98.37 C 93,890 -6,001 98.37 P 41,183 UNCH
MAR20 EURODLR 98.25 C 246,398 -500 98.25 P 332,770 -39,375
MAR20 EURODLR 98.37 C 422,017 -3,937 98.37 P 156,585 -14,747
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 98.37 C 113,716 UNCH 98.37 P 175,808 -25,473
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 98.50 C 146,063 UNCH 98.50 P 173,909 +9,754
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.37 C 31,398 UNCH 98.37 P 43,935 +1,750
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.50 C 34,628 UNCH 98.50 P 45,832 +6,681
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.37 C 10,870 UNCH 98.37 P 26,682 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.50 C 44,709 -200 98.50 P 16,418 -500
PUT/CALL RATIO FOR VOLUME CLEARED:
MAR20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.88 (114,548 PUTS VS. 129,046 CALLS)
APR20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.80 (74,418 PUTS VS. 92,417 CALLS)
MAR20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.81 (20,916 PUTS VS. 11,307 CALLS)
APR20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.91 (19,693 PUTS VS. 10,796 CALLS)
MAP20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 132.0 (1,323 PUTS VS. 10 CALLS)
APR20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.08 (87 PUTS VS. 971 CALLS)
FEB20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.00 (0 PUTS VS. 14,002 CALLS)
MAR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.87 (75,676 PUTS VS. 40,918 CALLS)
MAR21 1Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.61 (75,339 PUTS VS. 122,211 CALLS)
MAR22 2Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.41 (14,874 PUTS VS. 10,655 CALLS)
MAR23 3Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.35 (2,000 PUTS VS. 5,703 CALLS)
(VOLUME, OPEN INTEREST, RATIOS ALL REFLECT PRIOR SESSION'S DATA)
Swaption BP/Vol Via Bloomberg:
Time (ET) 3M/2Y 1M/10Y 3M/5Y 3M/10Y 2Y/10Y 5Y/5Y
1230 60.25 66.13 65.18 66.36 64.79 65.15
1000 60.05 65.86 64.91 66.06 64.71 65.09
Fri Open 59.75 65.31 64.73 65.88 64.68 65.05
Thu 1500 59.19 67.84 64.61 65.78 64.44 65.01
Thu Open 58.33 68.61 65.10 66.19 64.75 65.08
Wed 1500 57.88 68.43 64.94 66.20 64.97 65.42
Wed Open 58.90 68.98 65.09 66.54 64.86 65.27
Tue 1500 60.35 69.41 65.88 67.31 65.28 65.60
Tue Open 61.56 72.04 67.06 68.07 65.43 65.54
Mon 1500 61.14 72.89 67.51 68.90 65.52 65.58
Mon Open 59.25 70.43 65.55 67.65 65.25 65.46
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.