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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY28.8 Bln via OMO Thursday
MNI BRIEF: Ontario To Cut U.S. Energy Flows When Tariffs Hit
MNI BRIEF: Aussie Labour Market Tightens, Unemployment At 3.9%
US TSYS BEGIN NY MAINLY HIGHER IN QUIET PRE-HOLIDAY ACTION
US TSYS SUMMARY: US Treasuries prices open NY Friday, month-end, yr-end
mainly higher, 30Y mildly weaker amid curve steepening. US Tsy/fincl futures
close 1pm ET, cash US bonds 2pm ET. Monday is New Year's Day holiday for bonds,
stocks, banks, and US govt offices.
- TOKYO: Tsys began steady/mixed, short end then gradually turned better bid
into UK amid light volume. US$/yen weakness spurred FX-tied bid, along with
month-end, qtr-end and yrend positions. Most Asian stocks indexes end higher;
Jpn's Nikkei up +19% for 2017 or 23.8% on US$; China CSI 300 +22% for yr (30% in
US$ terms.)
- LONDON: Tsys bid on mainly soft Europe stks, except FTSE-100. Bid for 2Y-10Y
but long end dips to new overnight low recently. BBG/Barclays adv Tsys index
mo-end extensn 0.07 yrs. German DAX +12.7% on yr, +28.5% in US$; UK FTSE-100
+7.5% on yr, 17.8% in US$.
- US SWAPS: Mostly wider, flatter, light flow; $47.1K DV01 3/5Y swap flattener.
- OVERNIGHT REPO: Final 2017 day, yrend "turn"; overnight repo has tighter Tsys
3Y, 5Y, old 5Y, 10Y. This wk's 2/5/7Y auctions settle early next wk.
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts have squeezed higher in late morning thin illiquid trade led
by the long-end, in-turn flattening the yield curve, despite slightly higher
than expected German regional flash inflation data.
- 10-yr Gilt yield at 10;13am ET is -0.7 bps at 1.187% at 10:13am et.
- The squeeze higher occurred just before 1100GMT and appeared across the curve
with front-end of the short sterling strip bought in decent size, but the
long-end rallied more due to lack of liquidity.
- The rally in nominal gilts has outperformed linkers by around 1 basis point
and therefore breakevens have tightened. While swaps spread have barely changed
so far today.
- In swaps there has been some activity, however this has been limited to a
5Y-10Y flattener and a 10Y-30Y steepener in small size.
EGB SUMMARY: German Bunds declined after digesting 1.6% yr/yr Dec. preliminary
Pan-German CPI/HICP, and 0.8% Mo/Mo. European core curves earlier pivoted
slightly with the Schatz yield a basis point lower and taking back some of the
recent rise but the 30Y is around 0.5bp higher.
- The month-end extension is relatively small today and this can explain the
lack of any push to curve flattening
- German State CPI data earlier pointing to a 0.6%M/M print in the pan-German
release. However, Spanish December HICP has come in weak. Details in the
Eurozone M3 report showed a continued improvement in lending.
- Peripheral EGB markets started underperforming early in the session. More
recently there has been news that the Spanish Citizens Party in Catalonia will
not attempt to form a coalition (despite being the largest Party) and so this
will leave the Separatists in charge. This should have been anticipated.
- The 10Y Bund yield is up 1.6 bps at 0.431%
- Eurex trading hours are unchanged today.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.