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Free AccessUS TSYS: OPEC EXPECTED TO CUT OUTPUT
US TSY SUMMARY: Tsy trading slightly higher into the bell, in the middle of the
range with strong volume (TYZ 1.21M), curves mixed. Data today led by US
Manufacturing, Services, and Composite PMI which all came in weaker than
expected; Canada CPI came in stronger than expected while Retail Sales came in
mixed;
-UK Prime Minister May answered questions today saying, "*MAY: BREXIT DEAL
DELIVERS WHAT PEOPLE VOTED FOR, PROTECTS JOBS" and "*MAY: IF PARLIAMENT REJECTS
DEAL, WE'RE `BACK AT SQUARE ONE'"-bbg
-Oil touched its lowest level since October 2017, despite headline out this
morning, "Total CEO Expects 'Significant' Oil Output Cut from OPEC, Russia-bbg".
WTI currently down (WTI -3.51, 51.12).
-DXY up +.221, 96.933 (96.403L/96.959H), $/Eur down -0.0069 at 1.1334, $/Yen
down -.10 112.85; equities lower (emini -19.50, 2629.50 vs. 2656.25H); Gold
down(XAU -4.37, 1223.08)
-Tsy cash/ylds: 2Y 100-03.75 (2.811%), 5Y 99-31.75 (2.873%), 10Y 100-20
(3.050%), 30Y 101-8.5(3.306%).
US TSY FUTURES CLOSE: Trading slightly higher in the middle of the range; strong
volume (TYZ 1.19M); curves mixed; update:
* 2s10s -1.279, 23.398 (22.624L/25.013H);
* 2s30s -1.081, 48.950 (47.432L/50.217H);
* 5s30s +0.466, 42.910 (41.245L/43.082H);
Current futures levels:
* Dec Ultra bonds up 01/32 at 151-22 (151-08L/152-16H)
* Dec 30-yr Bond futures up 04/32 at 140-01 (139-22L/140-17H)
* Dec 10-yr futures up 02/32 at 119-9.5 (119-04L/119-14.5H)
* Dec 5-yr futures up 1.75/32 at 112-28.25 (112-25L/112-30.75H)
* Dec 2-yr futures up 0.25/32 at 105-15 (105-14.5L/105-16.24H)
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: White pack trades mixed while reds through golds
trade mildly higher on moderate volume. Current White pack (Dec'18-Sep'19):
* Dec'18 -0.0100 at 97.2325
* Jun'19 0.000 at 97.160
* Jun'19 +0.010 at 97.070
* Sep'18 +0.015 at 97.000
* Red pack (Dec'19-Sep'20) +0.020
* Green pack (Dec'20-Sep'21) +0.020-0.015
* Blue pack (Dec'21-Sep'21) +0.020-0.015
* Gold pack (Dec'22-Sep'22) +0.015
US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settles,
* O/N -0.0035 to 2.1770%
* 1 Month +0.0070 to 2.3219%
* 3 Month +0.0019 to 2.6912%
* 6 Month -0.0010 to 2.8863%
* 1 Year +0.0104 to 3.1208%
US TSYS: *** /REPO REFERENCE RATES: (rate, volume)
* Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 2.18% vs. 2.20% prior, $819B
* Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 2.17% vs. 2.18% prior, $406B
* Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 2.17% vs. 2.18% prior, $401B
PIPELINE: No New Issuance Thursday or Friday
OUTLOOK:
26-Nov 1030 ** Nov Dallas Fed manufacturing index 29.4 --
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/Screen:
* 10,000 Short Mar 63/65/66 put fly at 1
* 10,000 Short Dec 67/68 2x1 put sprd at 2
* 4,000 Red Dec 65 puts at 5.5
* +10,000 Short Dec 72 calls at 0.5
* 20,000 Short Dec 67 puts at 1 vs 9393/0.10%
TSY OPTIONS:
* +35,000 FVH 104 puts at Cab7
* -14,000 TYG 118 calls at 133
* Total >57,000 TYF 119.5 calls at 24
* Total >30,000 TYG 121.5 calls at 10
* 10,000 TYH 125 calls at 3 vs 119-12.5/0.07%
--MNI Chicago Bureau; +1 630-698-0154; email: ryan.martin@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.