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US Yields Recoup Some Of Wednesday's Losses

US TSYS

TYH4 is trading at 112-12+, + 02 from NY closing levels.

Not too much to speak about for Tsys today, we have remained rangebound all day, with a slight flattening of the curve occurring, cash yields are up 1-4.5bps.

  • Slightly better selling in the front end of the curve in Asia trading as the 2Y yield is 4.5bps higher at 4.252%, while the 10Y yield is 2.6bps higher at 3.937%.
  • Firms are pushing back their forecast for Fed cuts. Goldman Sachs has pushed back its forecast for the 1st Fed cut to May from March. It still expects 5cuts this year (BBG), with Abrdn sees fed cutting rates three times this year (BBG). This may be lending support to today's moves.
  • TYH4 is still trading within initial resistance levels of 112-26+ from the highs of Jan 12th, while first support remains back at 110-26 from Jan 19th.
  • Data Tonight: Weekly Claims, Flash PMIs, ISMs, followed by Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday

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