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USD/CNH Consolidated Late Last Week, Industrial Profits Out Today

CNH

Friday highs in USD/CNH were just above 7.1600, with the pair finding selling interest just above this level on a number of occasions. We finished up on Friday back sub 7.1500, which is where we track in early trading today. USD/CNY closed on Friday nearby at 7.1490, while the CNY NEER (J.P. Morgan index) edged down slightly to 123.91.

  • The Golden Dragon equity index gained 1.62% in US trade on Friday, which likely helped CNH sentiment at the margin. Broader USD weakness also likely helped, with the BBDXY down a further 0.26%.
  • Still, onshore China equities were weaker across the board on Friday, with the potentially negative impact of the seemingly impending round of “unprecedented” property support via unsecured loans to qualified lenders for banks received the most airtime.
  • Over the weekend, reports also surfaced (BBG) that shadow bank company Zhongzhi will be probed the authorities (see this link). The company is reportedly in solvency difficulty.
  • On the data front today, we have Oct industrial profits. There is no consensus estimate, with the prior outcome being 11.9% y/y. Later in the week we get Nov PMI readings.

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