Free Trial

USD/CNH Within Recent Ranges, Eyes on Stocks Post Levy Cut

CNH

USD/CNH sits lower in the first part of dealing today, the pair last in the 7.2860/70 region, although liquidity will likely be light at this stage. We finished up in NY on Friday at 7.2948, a CNH loss of 0.20%. The pair was mostly on the front foot post the Asia close, getting above 7.3000 (with higher US front end yields boosting the USD) before selling interest emerged. USD/CNY finished at 7.2873, while the CNY NEER (J.P. Morgan index) climbed 0.22% to 122.02.

  • Over the weekend it was announced that the authorities will cut the stock trading levy to 0.05% from the current 0.1%, effective today. The authorities will also curb IPO activity and lower the margin ratio for margin trading (see this link).
  • The CSI 300 ended last week near 3700, down nearly 2% (for the week) and the third straight weekly loss. The Golden Dragon index was around flat in Friday US trade, but higher for the week.
  • CNH should benefit, all else equal, from any improvement in equity sentiment from the above measures.
  • Measures to boost the housing market were also announced late on Friday (see this link), but they didn't have a material impact on aggregate sentiment (the CSI 300 real estate index did rise 1.25% on Friday).
  • The local data calendar is empty until Thursday, when official PMIs for August print. July industrial profits released yesterday printed at -6.7% y/y, versus -8.3% prior.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.