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USD/JPY range-bound so far, with.........>

DOLLAR-YEN
DOLLAR-YEN: USD/JPY range-bound so far, with little reaction seen to the
admittedly somewhat outdated minutes from the BoJ's Sep monetary policy meeting.
Likewise, little reaction seen to final Jibun Bank services & composite PMIs out
of Japan, with both indices worse than flash estimates. USD/JPY sits at Y109.10,
6 pips lower on the day.
- Tuesday saw the rate push higher as optimism surrounding Sino-U.S. trade
relations kept yen purchases at bay. Gains were extended as firmer U.S. Tsy
yields & a beat in ISM non-m'fing buoyed the greenback. As a result, USD/JPY
closed above its 200-DMA for the first time since May & 58 pips better off.
- After bouncing off the channel support on Friday, the rate staged a dynamic
recovery manifested in a "three white soldiers" candlestick pattern. This shifts
focus to the key resistance at Y109.29/32, the highs of Oct 30/Aug 1, with the
61.8% retracement of the YtD range layered just above at Y109.37. Meanwhile,
bears would be pleased by a drop under the 23.6% retracement of the Oct bull mkt
at Y108.63, which would bring the channel support at Y108.12 into view.
- Looking ahead, Japanese earnings/spending figures are due on Friday.

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