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USD/PHP Avoids Early 57.00 Test, But Upside Pressures Still Evident

PHP

USD/PHP sits at 56.93, which is down from earlier highs near 56.98. Lows for the session sit just under 56.90. The near term focus remains on whether we can test above the 57.00 level, which has been a resistance point in recent months and a likely BSP intervention zone (something hinted at in terms of recent official rhetoric).

  • Some relief has come through for PHP in recent dealings, with USD/CNY moving lower post PBoC comments. Broader USD sentiment has also stabilized somewhat, with the BBDXY back to 1267.3, versus earlier highs near 1268.
  • Still, focus remains on upside USD/Asia momentum more broadly amidst a relentless rise in US real yields. The chart below plots spot USD/PHP against the real US 10yr yield.
  • In the cross asset space, equities are ticking up again, +0.25%, after yesterday's strong 1.48% gain. Still, foreign investors were large net sellers yesterday (-$266mn).
  • Philippines President Marcos has stated now is not the right time to cut rice import tariffs. He also stated that the cap on domestic rice prices, introduced on Sep 5 will remain in place (see this link).

Fig 1: USD/PHP Spot Versus US Real 10yr Yield


Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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