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USD/PHP Close To Multi-Week Lows, All Eyes On Tomorrow's CPI Print

PHP

USD/PHP is a touch lower in the first part of trading. The pair back to the 54.80/85 region. We were at 54.90 in the early part of the session but the peso has benefited from a softer USD tone more broadly as the session has progressed. The pair is back sub all its key EMAs, with the 20-day at 54.95. Lows that prevailed in the first half of Feb in the 54.35/40 region could be targeted on the downside.

  • The positive equity tone is helping with Philippines equities mostly tracking higher through the first part of March (today +0.80% and back above the 6700 level). Offshore investors aren't participating yet though, with modest month to date outflows (-$47.7mn)
  • On the data front, all eyes rest on tomorrow's CPI outcome. The market looks for 8.9% y/y, (8.7% prior), while the BSP has a 8.5% to 9.3% forecast range.
  • BSP Governor Medalla noted at the end of last week, that a breach of the 9% handle could mean a 50bps hike at the March 23 meeting.

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