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USD/RUB Pauses for Breath Around 76.50 as US Boosts Troops in Eastern Europe

RUSSIA
  • USD/RUB trades +0.88% higher this morning in line with a firmer BBDXY and a bit of profit-taking and technical support around the 76.00 handle.
  • The cross fell -1.03% yesterday, pulling back from the 76.50 handle on reports that the US was boosting its troop presence in Eastern Europe by 3,000 soldiers.
  • Defence Minister Shoigu has arrived in Belarus for military drills that will extend until 20 Feb and be watched closely.
  • Russia has promised to pull troops back once these exercises are completed – which could be an important olive branch from Russia.
  • Nevertheless, markets await Russia’s response to the latest US report for next steps.
  • Continued dialogue has supported the RUB in recent sessions, retracing 4.60% from the peak at 8.4115, but may need to see some more concrete signs of de-escalation to return to sub-75.00 levels.
  • Brent dipped back below the $90/bbl mark, but remains well supported by tight market conditions.
  • Intraday Sup1: 76.015, Sup2: 75,6804, Res1: 76.8878, Res2: 77.4994
  • Russia 5Y CDS


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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