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USD/RUB Pulls Back Above 70 as Traders Take Profits on RUB Longs

RUSSIA
  • USD/RUB trades -0.22% lower this morning, brushing off softer oil prices to move back below 70.50 in early trading.
  • The cross rose +1.56% in yesterday's session, moving sharply back above the 70 handle as energy prices sagged following larger than expected inventory builds this week and tentative profit-taking on RUB longs.
  • Brent slipped below $84/bbl this morning, trading just shy of 1% lower on the day for a weekly decline of -2.66%.
  • Weekly CPI data yesterday confirmed that price pressures still remained notably proinflationary with 3x6 FRA-Mosprime spreads widening this morning back to +92.5bp after falling to +74.5 prior to the print.
  • Frictions between Russia and NATO/Ukraine continue to simmer after Ukrainian military used Turkish drones to destroy separatist artillery in the Donbass and Russia warned NATO about its expanded presence in the Baltics.
  • However, the discussion of the 2022/24 budget will be the focus today with no data on today's schedule.
  • Attention will be on 70.00 support so see if this is just a near term pause in a deeper move lower or the start of a near-term consolidation period in the 69.50-71.50 range before the next CBR.
  • Intraday Sup1: 70.2891, Sup2: 70.0777, Res1: 70.7847, Res2: 71.1034
  • 3x6 FRA-Mosprime Spread


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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