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USD/RUB Stalls Slightly as Brent Heads for First Weekly Loss Since March, PPI Data In Focus

RUSSIA
  • USD/RUB gaps lower at the open after drifting towards 74.50 in yesterday's session.
  • The cross has traded choppily the entire week around the 74.00 handle, showing very little directionality since Tuesday's session.
  • Oil markets remain under pressure this morning with brent slipping -0.31% towards $73.26 as it faces its first weekly loss since March.
  • The Merkel-Biden meeting saw no real negative developments in terms of NS2, other than Germany remaining resolute on transit via Ukraine (something Putin has agreed to keep doing).
  • Beyond this, we will be looking for US-Russia cybersecurity talks today, which were oddly confirmed for today but have not been discussed again since Monday.
  • Any form of constructive dialogue on the issue will be positive for the RUB, with Putin largely showing an openness to cooperation on the subject in prior discussions.
  • 74.00 support has proven robust in USD/RUB this week, but at these levels, RUB will start to look attractive ahead of next week's presumably hawkish CBR.
  • Focus today will be on PPI data, which is expected to moderate somewhat against a backdrop of rising headline CPI which may temper hawkish expectations slightly if we see an even lower print today.
  • Intraday Sup1: 74.0875, Sup2: 73.7653, Res1: 74.4614, Res2: 74.8061
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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