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USDCAD Helped Further Off Session Highs By FOMC Minutes

CANADA
  • The FOMC minutes helped continue a prior move lower for USDCAD to step back from session highs but still sit +0.4% at 1.2898.
  • A widening in the Can-US yield differential on the day (2Y +9bps, 10Y -5bps) and a bounce in oil has helped trim gains, although correlation with the latter is fading again to almost -0.30.
  • The pair falls back into its recent range and the 1.29 mark seen after WTI most recently fell below $90/bbl, although it did fleetingly clear resistance at 1.2934 (Aug 15 high) by two pips, a more sustained break of which could open short-term key resistance at 1.2985 (Aug 5 high).
  • Potential risk factors from a variety of second tier data releases tomorrow including, on the US side, initial claims for a payrolls reference week, activity surveys after the huge miss in August Empire and existing home sales, plus Canadian industrial prices.

USDCADSource: Bloomberg

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