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Views since the new Chancellor (2/2)

BOE
  • Goldman Sachs: 75bp hikes in November and December (previously 100bp) then 50bp in Feb23 and 25bp in Mar23 and May23 to 4.75% (from 5.00% previously).
  • NatWest Markets: 75bp in November (previously 100bp) then 75bp in December, 50bp in Feb23 to 4.25% "with downside risks to Dec and/or Feb".
  • Nomura: Continue to look for 75bp in November, 75bp in December then 50bp in Feb23 and 25bp in Mar23 to 4.50%.
  • UBS: Expect 75bp in November and December (with risk of 50bp in December). Look for 50bp hike in Feb23 and 25bp in Mar23 to 4.50%.

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