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Volatility and Interest in Puts Increases

OIL OPTIONS

The last month has seen an increase in volatility skew and open interest in put positions

  • ATM volatility in WTI has increased from below 50% late last week to over 56%, after significant futures price swings in recent days.
  • The skew to puts has also increased with Dec22 Brent 25 delta puts now nearly 6% over calls. The skew was only 2% last week.
  • Since this time last month, the open interest in Brent puts options has increased while interest in calls has fallen. The volume and price of puts have both increased as the market focus has switched to recession fears leading to lower demand growth over the ongoing supply issues.
  • The chart below shows the change in significant Brent options in the last month, since 7th June, across the main contract expiries:

Source: MNI / Bloomberg

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