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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 9-15 Dec
Wesfarmers 1H24 results in line but prefer staple WOW 28's that trade wide - both SLB's
Aussie retailer conglomerate, Wesfarmers, posted a slight beat on 1H earnings with EBITDA at AUD $3.075b (c$3.01b). Kmart stores (staple clothing & basic goods retailer) driving a strong beat (+7.5% vs. c+4.25%).
Operating cash flows at $2.9b/+47% yoy also beat c$2.14b - management pointing to favourable working capital movements & Kmart earnings -it drove a fall in net debt from $4.7b to $3.9b & pushed leverage down from 2.1* to 1.8*. Interim dividend still held at $0.91 (c$0.89) - i.e. BS healthy & leaves headroom against ratings.
Wesfarmers has exposure to commodity prices through its chemicals, energy & fertiliser unit (~8% of rev's) - we prefer Aussie staple retailer Woolworths (Aus. grocery ~75% of rev's, NZ grocery ~10%) with strong BS.
WOWAU28's trade well wide for its rating (& offers larger discount vs. WES)- b/a is only 6 wide & don't see compression to FV struggling on broader spread sell-off's (historically vs. JDE Peets, Tesco on spread sell-off's).
WOW reports 1H results on Wednesday (Aus. session) - consensus (*5) looking for +4.3% headline sales growth.
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Why MNI
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