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What to Watch: FOMC Minutes, Philly Fed Harker, NATO Summit

MARKET INSIGHT

Rates trading weaker/near late overnight lows, short end outperforming as curves continue to steepen/move off deeper inverted levels: 2s10s +5.642 at 8.141 (compares to -9.531 inversion during early Mon Asia hours); 5s30s +1.813 at -13.572 vs. -16.859 low overnight.

  • No significant data for today, focus on March FOMC minutes (1400ET) preceded by Philly Fed Harker on economic outlook at 0930ET.
  • Markets hope to glean more on forward guidance after Fed Gov Brainard comments Tue: "tightening monetary policy methodically through a series of interest rate increases and by starting to reduce the balance sheet at a rapid pace as soon as our May meeting."
  • NATO: Meeting of the North Atlantic Council (NAC) Ministers of Foreign Affairs today, Sec Stoltenberg chairing, press conference at 0945ET. Link: NATO
  • Expecting more sanctions to be levied on Russia. US Secretary of State Blinken will also join a G7 ministerial and hold formal and informal discussions with ‘allies and partners’.

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