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What to Watch: Retail Sales, Imp/Exp Prices, IP/Cap-U, Fed Speakers

US TSYS

Tsys firmer, bonds near recent overnight highs after nearly crossing Tue's highs, 30YY sub-4% at 3.9579% (3.9429% low). Decent volumes (TYZ2>375k), yield curves flatter in the short end (2s10s -1.164 at -58.656) as year end step down pricing stable.

  • Focus on Retail Sale data at 0830ET: Advance MoM (0.0%, 1.0%); Control (0.4%, 0.3%); Ex Auto MoM (0.1%, 0.5%); Ex Auto and Gas (0.3%, 0.2%), in addition to
  • Import Price Index MoM (-1.2%, -0.4%); YoY (6.0%, 4.1%); ex-Petroleum MoM (-0.5%, -0.8%) and Export Price Index MoM (-0.8%, -0.3%); YoY (9.5%, 7.1%); followed by
  • Industrial Production MoM (0.4%, 0.1%) & CapU (80.3%, 80.4%), 0915ET
  • Fed speakers on tap:
    • NY Fed Williams Tsy Mkt conf, no text, no Q&A at 0950ET
    • Fed VC Barr House Services Comm testimony, 1000ET
    • SF Fed President Mary Daly on CNBC, 1000ET
    • Fed Gov Waller eco outlook, text and Q&A, 1435ET
  • Tsy auctions:
    • US Tsy $33B 17W bill auction (912796Z77) at 1130ET
    • US Tsy $15B 20Y Bond auction (912810TM0) at 1300ET
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