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Won Lagging Stronger Local Equity Tone

KRW

1 month USD/KRW has had a relatively steady start in Wednesday trade. The pair last near 1300, slightly weaker in won terms versus NY closing levels from Tuesday. Spot is down to 1302/03, +0.40% firmer in won terms, but this is largely reflective of USD weakness post yesterday's onshore spot close.

  • Local equities are tracking to fresh multi month higher, the Kospi last near 2600, up 1% so far today. Offshore investors have returned to the local market, buying $105.7mn of local shares.
  • The won looks a little too low relative to local equity strength, see the chart below, although the divergence is not large.
  • Offsets have come from weaker yen levels post yesterday's dovish BoJ hold. A firmer energy price backdrop is also likely to weigh on the terms of trade backdrop, although commodity indices are only just off recent lows.
  • We here from BoK Governor later on 2H inflation trends. Tomorrow's data highlight we be the first 20-days of trade data for Dec.
Fig 1: USD/KRW (Inverted) Versus Local Equities

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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