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Won Outperforms Broad USD Gains, Tech Equity Strength Helps

KRW

1 month USD/KRW was mostly range bound post the Asia close on Monday. We spent most of our time in the 1330/35 range. We closed in NY at 1332, a won gain of 0.36%, bucking the trend of stronger dollar trends elsewhere (BBDXY +0.40% higher for Monday). Note onshore spot ended yesterday at 1330.75.

  • The chart below overlays the 1 month USD/KRW NDF versus the BBDXY index. A modest divergence merged yesterday.
  • Resistance to a move back above 1340, which saw official rhetoric around FX weakness pick back up, may be a factor. The other is tech related equity outperformance. The SOX rose over 1% in Monday US trade, the MSCI IT gained nearly 0.5%, bucking softer trends in the major indices.
  • To recap, the Kospi fell 0.92% yesterday but offshore investors added modestly to local shares, +$45.9mn.
  • The local data calendar is quiet until tomorrow's Dec goods balance and current account figures.
  • The FinMin will visit the BOK to hold a meeting with Governor Rhee at 2pm local time.

Fig 1: 1 Month USD/KRW & USD BBDXY Index

Source: MNI- Market News/Bloomberg

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