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Yuan Reverses Earlier Retreat

CNH

Offshore yuan has strengthened but is still within yesterday's range, the pair is retracing a sizable move yesterday sustained amid a sell off in local equity markets, markets are in positive territory today.

  • The PBOC fixed USD/CNH at 6.4516, 23 pips below sell side estimates, the second lower fix in three days, compared to 2 lower misses in the previous 4 weeks. Yuan bulls will be scrutinising the fixes as a sign that the PBOC has realigned its asymmetric bias for a weaker yuan at the fix.
  • Data showed January home prices rose 0.28% M/M, another positive print after 1 0.12% gain in December.
  • A piece in China's Economic Information Daily will have also given yuan bulls some encouragement, there was a piece on the front page that predicted China's economy will grow 8% in 2021 after posting 2.3% growth in 2020. The piece also stated steady improvement in China's economic fundamentals is creating conditions for the country to normalize its monetary policy.

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