MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 13

MNI BRIEF: PBOC To Curb Any Yuan Overshot : PBOC Zou

MNI: GERMANY OCT EXPORTS -2.8% M/M (VS FCST -2.6%)

CHINA YTD NEW LOANS CNY17.1 TRLN VS MEDIAN CNY17.5 TRLN: PBOC

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY14.2 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Higher At 7.1876 Fri; -1.22% Y/Y

MNI: EUROZONE OCT IP +0% M/M, -1.2% Y/Y

MNI: SPAIN NOV HICP +0% M/M, +2.4% Y/Y

MNI: FRANCE NOV HICP -0.1% M/M, +1.7% Y/Y

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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(Z1) Double Bottom Reversal

GILT TECHS
  • RES 4: 127.09 61.8% retracement of the Aug - Oct downleg
  • RES 3: 126.84 Low Sep 17
  • RES 2: 126.39 50.0% retracement of the Aug - Oct downleg
  • RES 1: 125.72 High Oct 1
  • PRICE: 125.63 @ 14:32 BST Oct 27
  • SUP 1: 124.55 Intraday low
  • SUP 2: 123.43 Low Oct 21 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 3: 123.16 Low Feb 27, 2019 (cont)
  • SUP 4: 122.75 2.236 proj of the Aug 31 - Sep 17 - 21 price swing

Gilt futures have accelerated higher today and in the process have highlighted a possible S/T reversal. In pattern terms, today's break of 125.27, Oct 14 high highlights a double bottom reversal - a close above 125.27 would confirm this pattern. It suggests the contract has reversed course and that gains are likely near-term. This has opened 125.72 next and also signals scope for a climb above 126.00. Initial support is at 124.55, today low.

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