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A Marginal Extension Of Recent Spread Widening As Italy Maintains Protest OF ECB Policy

BTP

A decent move in the 10-Year BTP/Bund spread in the last few sessions, post-Fed & ECB, with the rhetoric from Italian Ministers re: distaste for continued ECB tightening also in the mix in recent days (once again evident over the weekend).

  • Still, the spread trades well within the recently observed range, but away from multi-month tights.
  • This is one of the channels that has the potential to muddy the transmission of tighter ECB policy when it comes to foreign exchange rates, given the credit spread component of the periphery (most notably Italy) that is embedded into EUR valuation.

Fig. 1: 10-Year BTP/Bund Spread

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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