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BAX Yields Broadly Unwind Earlier CPI Hit

CANADA
  • BAX implied yields have almost given back the dip to end-2022 and more than unwound it further out after the earlier CPI miss which at the time saw OIS pricing fall 3bps to a 69bp hike for the Sep 7 decision.
  • That OIS level still holds but BAZ2 yields have climbed back to just shy of highs after last week’s US CPI beat and the front-loaded 100bp BoC hike, sitting only -1.5bps at 4.105%.
  • Further, with an intraday swing currently of 10bps, BAZ3 yields sit +2bp at 3.59% and in the process only marginally unwind the recent ramp up in inversion with still more than 50bps of cuts priced.

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