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BAX Yields Continue To Rise Strongly

CANADA
  • BAX yields rise strongly, up 6bps for Dec’22 and 7-7.5bps across most of the rest of the curve, this time outpacing Eurodollars in a similar move to that seen in front end GoCs vs Tsys as it unwinds yesterday’s further dip in the 2Y differential.
  • Implied yields are seen peaking in the Dec’22 at 4%, broadly consistent with the BoC policy rate getting close to 3.5% from the current 2.5% before sliding thereafter.
  • Despite the further sizeable increase in 2023 yields, the curve remains heavily inverted with 66bps of cuts implied by BAZ2/BAZ3, more so than the 58bps for the Eurodollars equivalent for the second day running.

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