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BBVA Trade Recommendation: Abertis Infraestructuras May 26s

INDUSTRIALS SECTOR


Rating Profile: NR/BBB-[S]/BBB[S]

  • ABESM EUR May 26s are recommended by BBVA as a buy at B+67 (yield 3.2%), following recent underperformance compared to other ABESM senior bonds.
  • ABESM EUR’26's have tightened only approximately -1bp MoM, versus an average tightening of ~10bps for Abertis' EUR senior bonds.
  • Abertis is favored this year due to a €1.3bn cash infusion from its parent companies and an extension in the high-quality average life of its toll road portfolio, following deals in Houston and Puerto Rico. Rating agencies have reaffirmed ABESM's ratings in the wake these deal announcements.
  • A potential positive catalyst for Abertis could arise from the AP-7 toll road litigation against the Spanish Government, with €1.1bn already received against a €4.2bn claim.
  • Strong continued cash generation is anticipated for Abertis in 2024 while BBVA note improved credit metrics and a solid rating profile.

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