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Free AccessBear Steeper With Geopolitics Still At Forefront
- Cash Tsys trade bear steeper, 1.5-9.5bp cheaper across the curve. The move came in early trading as a lack of meaningful weekend escalation in the Israeli-Hamas conflict (albeit seeming a matter of time until we do see that) allowed Tsys to ease further move from Friday's peak.
- Medium-term liquidity injections from the PBoC (with an eye on government bond supply), as well as political headlines out of Europe & NZ, provided the highlights of the weekend news flow from elsewhere.
- TYZ3 trades at the very low end of Friday’s range, currently at 107-11+ (-11+ ticks) off decent cumulative volumes of 325k. Latest flow has included a 2.5k block suggested buy at 107-10, coming in just above yesterday’s low of 107-09, whilst support remains at 106-14 (2.0% lower Bollinger band) before greater focus at 106-03+ (Oct 4 low).
- Data: Empire Fed mfg for Oct (0830ET)
- Fedspeak: Harker at 1030ET and 1630ET, both including prepared text.
- Bill issuance: US Tsy $75B 13W, $68B 26W bill auctions (1130ET)
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.