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Free AccessBeige Book Summary: All See Modest To Moderate Growth-Text>
--Report Prepared by the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following is an excerpt from the summary of
the Federal Reserve's report on Current Economic Conditions, known as
The Beige Book, released Wednesday:
Overall Economic Activity
Economic activity continued to expand at a modest to moderate pace
across the 12 Federal Reserve Districts in March and early April.
Outlooks remained positive, but contacts in various sectors including
manufacturing, agriculture, and transportation expressed concern about
the newly imposed and/or proposed tariffs. Consumer spending rose in
most regions, with gains noted for nonauto retail sales and tourism, but
mixed results for vehicle sales. Manufacturing activity grew moderately,
and demand for nonfinancial services was mostly solid. Residential
construction and real estate activity expanded further, although low
home inventories continued to constrain sales in several Districts. Loan
demand increased, and commercial real estate activity and construction
improved since the last report. Transportation services activity
expanded in over half of the reporting Districts, buoyed by increases in
port traffic and/or air, rail and/or trucking shipments. Agricultural
conditions were little changed or worsened on net, in part due to
persistent drought conditions. Contacts in the energy sector cited a
pickup in activity, except in the Richmond District, where coal
production was flat and natural gas production dipped slightly.
Employment and Wages
Widespread employment growth continued, with most Districts
characterizing growth as modest to moderate. Labor markets across the
country remained tight, restraining job gains in some regions. Contacts
continued to note difficulty finding qualified candidates across a broad
array of industries and skill levels. Reports of labor shortages over
the reporting period were most often cited in high-skill positions,
including engineering, information technology, and health care, as well
as in construction and transportation. Businesses were responding to
labor shortages in a variety of ways, from raising pay to enhancing
training to increasing their use of overtime and/or automation, among
other strategies. Upward wage pressures persisted but generally did not
escalate; most Districts reported wage growth as only modest.
Prices
Prices increased across all Districts, generally at a moderate
pace. There were widespread reports that steel prices rose, sometimes
dramatically, due to the new tariff. Prices for building materials
continued to rise briskly, especially for lumber, drywall, and concrete.
Transportation costs also generally rose, with contacts citing higher
fuel prices and shortages of truck drivers as the primary causes. There
were scattered reports of companies successfully passing through price
increases to customers in manufacturing, information technology,
transportation, and construction. Businesses generally anticipate
further price increases in the months ahead, particularly for steel and
building materials.
--MNI Washington Bureau;tel: +1 202 371-2121;
[TOPICS: MMUFE$,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.