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Biden Polling Boost Continues, RFK Could Cost Trump More Than Biden

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A new survey from NBC Newshas provided two positive polling signals for President Biden. Firstly, in a head-to-head with former President Trump, whilst still trailing by 2 points, Biden has strengthened significantly since January when he trailed Trump by 5 points. The survey is the latest by a major pollster to suggest that a polling shift towards Biden is underway.

  • Secondly, the survey suggests that third-party candidates, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., may siphon more votes from Trump than Biden - contrary to a long-held prevailing view in Washington.
  • NBC reports: “Though the conventional wisdom is that Kennedy is a bigger threat to Biden than to Trump, the numbers here tell a different story: 15% of Trump supporters and 7% of Biden supporters in the head-to-head matchup break for RFK Jr. when the field expands to include third-party candidates.”

Figure 1: Head-to-Head Matchup Between Biden and Trump

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A new survey from NBC Newshas provided two positive polling signals for President Biden. Firstly, in a head-to-head with former President Trump, whilst still trailing by 2 points, Biden has strengthened significantly since January when he trailed Trump by 5 points. The survey is the latest by a major pollster to suggest that a polling shift towards Biden is underway.

  • Secondly, the survey suggests that third-party candidates, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., may siphon more votes from Trump than Biden - contrary to a long-held prevailing view in Washington.
  • NBC reports: “Though the conventional wisdom is that Kennedy is a bigger threat to Biden than to Trump, the numbers here tell a different story: 15% of Trump supporters and 7% of Biden supporters in the head-to-head matchup break for RFK Jr. when the field expands to include third-party candidates.”

Figure 1: Head-to-Head Matchup Between Biden and Trump

Keep reading...Show less