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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
A new survey from NBC Newshas provided two positive polling signals for President Biden. Firstly, in a head-to-head with former President Trump, whilst still trailing by 2 points, Biden has strengthened significantly since January when he trailed Trump by 5 points. The survey is the latest by a major pollster to suggest that a polling shift towards Biden is underway.
- Secondly, the survey suggests that third-party candidates, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., may siphon more votes from Trump than Biden - contrary to a long-held prevailing view in Washington.
- NBC reports: “Though the conventional wisdom is that Kennedy is a bigger threat to Biden than to Trump, the numbers here tell a different story: 15% of Trump supporters and 7% of Biden supporters in the head-to-head matchup break for RFK Jr. when the field expands to include third-party candidates.”
Figure 1: Head-to-Head Matchup Between Biden and Trump
Source: NBC News
Figure 2: “How the race shifts in a multi-way field compared to a binary choice”
Source: NBC News
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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