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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessBMO On Canadian CPI Inflation
- CPI came in a little below expectations in June, "for a change, but that's about where the good news ends”.
- On the monthly rise of 0.7% M/M or 0.6% in seasonally adjusted terms, whilst below consensus of 0.9%, it “would have been at the upper end of anything seen in the decade before the pandemic”. At an annualized increase of just over 8%, “today's result is better, but not good”.
- There should be some relief likely in next month's report, as gasoline prices are currently tracking roughly a 9% drop in July, which alone will carve almost 4 ticks from the headline tally.
- However, most of the major measures of core inflation nudged up a bit further in June (the median held steady at 4.9%), hovering around the 5% mark -- we will need to see core relent for inflation to truly peak.
- The Bank should continue hiking in September, albeit with a more moderate 50bp move at that time.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.