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BNP AT1 Issue; Pricing Likely Low-800s, 6.625% At Short End Likely Call Candidate

FINANCIALS

BNP issuing USD benchmark AT1, IPT at 8.625%a (BNP FP), see tightening ~50bp to final.


  • The last USD AT1 out of a Eurobank was Swedbank (SWEDA SS) on 6-Feb. IPT was 8.25% which tightened to 7.75% for a NC6.5. At Sep-30 coupon refixes to 5Y CMT+365.7bp.
  • BNP’s issue today is NC7.5 and similar coupon. SWEDA’s USD curve has a 4% and a 7.25% (at similar years-to-call) which trade with the 7.5% a little over 50bp tighter. (albeit with a 79bp greater reset margin at call).
  • BNP has a 4.625% trading around this IPT level already, so we can see this pricing below the interpolation, perhaps in the region of the low 800bps.
  • We also note that the 6.625% at the short end is the likely call candidate in the wake of this issue.

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