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BoC’s Preferred Core CPI Measures Revised Higher Again

CANADA
  • Headline CPI eased a tenth more than expected in Dec to 6.3% Y/Y (-0.5pps), further off a peak of 8.1% in June.
  • More notably though, the BoC’s preferred core measures were stronger than expected after being revised to a joint cycle high for November of 5.25% (after July was also revised up marginally). In turn they only dipped to 5.15% Y/Y in Dec, made up of CPI-trim 5.3% vs 5.2% cons, CPI-median 5.0% vs 4.9 cons.
  • These measures have been less prone to the large revisions in the alternate CPI-common (6.6% Y/Y) but have still drifted higher with data vintages.
  • No revisions in the more traditional measure of ex food & energy, which eased modestly back to 5.34% Y/Y after 5.41% Y/Y but only slightly below the July high of 5.53% Y/Y.


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