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BoE Near-Term Hike Pricing Remarkably Stable Given Gilt Vol

STIR

Near-term BoE hike pricing looks remarkably stable considering the Gilt volatility: 160bp priced for the Nov meeting (3bp higher on the day), and 243bp by end-year (5bp lower on the day), both relatively unchanged since the BoE Gilt purchase / QT delay announcement. Chart below for year-end BoE cumulative hike pricing.

  • 1Y and 2Y yields also pretty close to where they were pre-BoE announcement.

DEC 2022 OIS Implied Hike PricingSource: BBG

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