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CAD Rates See Modest Outperformance To US

CANADA
  • BAX futures see outperformance to US rates, with implied yields holding a push higher (most active Jun’23 +1.5bps, Dec’23 +6bps, Jun’24 +6bps) vs SOFR +1-3bps over similar contracts.
  • The resumption of the higher for longer push sees BAH3/Z3 back into positive territory, at +0.015, still a few basis points off last week’s highs but substantially higher than the -0.75 after the Jan 25 BoC decision.
  • Heading into Wednesday’s BoC decision, near-term contract yields are little changed since the last meeting but the Dec’23 yield is almost 75bps higher and the Jun’24 125bps higher.

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