Free Trial

California Gov. Looks Set To Avoid Recall, GOP's Elder Fav If Gov. Recalled


California's Democratic party Governor Gavin Newsom looks set to avoid a recall in today's special election, with all opinion polls carried out over the past month showing the 'no to recall' campaign comfortably ahead of those calling for the governor's removal from office.

  • In the unlikely but not impossible event that the polls are substantially wrong and Newsom is recalled, Republican radio host and writer Larry Elder is the frontrunner to replace the governor according to recent polling. Youtuber, landlord and real estate broker David Paffrath, a Democrat, is running in a distant second place to replace Newsom should the recall go ahead.
  • The recall election gained momentum as California's COVID-19 situation become one of the worst in the US in 2020 and early 2021, but the relative success of the vaccine programme in the state (which has a higher takeup rate than many other US states) has seen Newsom's popularity recover and support for his recall decline.

To read the full story



MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.