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CEEMEA FX Price Signal Summary: USD/ZAR Bear Cycle Still in Play

CEE FX
  • The short-term outlook in EURHUF remains bullish and gains late last week reinforce the current bullish conditions. Moving average studies are in a bull mode and attention is on 399.64, the Mar 7 high and the next key resistance. Firm support is seen at 380.76, the May 24 low. A break of this level would be seen as a bearish development.
  • EURPLN traded at a new low Monday. This put prices below the 4.60 handle - a clear breach of this level and a continuation lower would clear the way for a move towards support at 4.5588, Apr 6 low. This is a key short-term support and a break would allow for a deeper retracement. On the upside, key resistance has been defined at 4.7279, the Apr 26 high.
  • The current USDZAR bear cycle remains in play and the pair is at new monthly lows early Monday. Price is well through both the 20-day and 50-day EMAs and attention is on the the 50-day EMA, at 15.5390 ahead of the key support at 15.4112, May 4 low. The current retracement is still considered corrective. A reversal higher would refocus attention on 16.3237, May 16 high and the bull trigger.
  • USDTRY continues to trend higher, with Monday prices holding just below the May highs. The pair maintains a bullish tone following recent gains. Last week’s break of the 16.00 handle as well as 16.4488 (76.4% of the Dec 20 - 23 sell-off) has opened the 17.00 level. Initial firm support lies at 15.6126, the 20-day EMA.
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