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Centre-Right Gov't Set To Come To Power On 17 Oct As Moderates Call Vote

SWEDEN

Reuters reporting that centre-right Moderate Party head Ulf Kristersson has stated that, 'We're moving towards forming a gov't in the coming days'. Radio Sweden reporting similar, saying that Kristersson is set to ask the speaker of the Risksdag for two more days for coalition negotiations with the intention of a vote in parliament on the new gov't on Monday 17 October.

  • Kristersson's Moderates as well as the right-wing nationalist Sweden Democrats, social conservative Christian Democrats, and centrist Liberals have been locked in coalition negotiations for weeks, since the 11 Sep general election in which the right bloc took 176 seats to the left's 174.
  • Most likely scenario is that the Moderates (which actually lost seats in the election), the Christian Democrats and the Liberals will form a coalition propped up from outside by the Sweden Democrats. This is despite the latter sitting as the largest party on the right of the political spectrum. The Liberals (crucial to any centre-right gov't majority) have previously ruled out working directly with Jimmie Akesson's Sweden Democrats.
  • Ousting of leftist gov't of PM Magdalena Andersson and replacement with a Kristersson-led centre-right grouping would mark a notable shift in the Nordic nation's historically social democratic model of governing. No threat seen to Sweden's NATO application, but new gov't likely to be less keen on EU integration, more hostile to immigration, both of which could see more disagreements w. Brussels.

Chart 1. Swedish Riksdag after 11 Sep Election

Source: Swedish Election Authority, MNI

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