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Diminishing Proportion Of High- Inflation Categories (2/2)

EUROZONE DATA

Separately, the full set of data released by Eurostat this morning allows us to examine inflation breadth (measured as the % of 4-digit COICOP sub-components that have Y/Y inflation rates above 2%) in the Eurozone.

  • MNI's calculations indicate that 78% of components remain above 2% - though this is down from a peak of 90% seen in January 2023.
  • Overall, the underlying and breadth metrics further strengthen the case that the ECB has finished its hiking cycle.
  • Indeed, further progress on inflation could serve to increase pricing for 2024 rate cuts - ECB-dated OIS contracts currently indicate almost 100bps of cuts by the December 2024 meeting.

Source: Eurostat, MNI

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