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EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Pre-ECB Rally

BONDS

After jumping on the open following above-expected UK CPI data, European yields fell steady throughout Wednesday's session.

  • Yields continued to move lower in the afternoon after and despite a US producer price upside surprise. Bunds bull flattened, Gilts bull steepened.
  • Periphery spreads reversed earlier widening as well.
  • There was no obvious fundamental driver, but with modest volumes and a long weekend / ECB decision imminent, there appeared to be an element of unwinding positions following an extended rise in yields.
  • See our ECB preview (and note the title) - "Be Prepared For A Hawkish Surprise".

Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 0.1bps at 0.074%, 5-Yr is down 2.4bps at 0.549%, 10-Yr is down 2.4bps at 0.766%, and 30-Yr is down 2.6bps at 0.901%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 1.9bps at 1.489%, 5-Yr is down 1.5bps at 1.549%, 10-Yr is down 0.4bps at 1.799%, and 30-Yr is down 0.4bps at 1.946%.
  • Italian BTP spread down 1.2bps at 160.7bps / Spanish up 1.4bps at 93.6bps

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