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Employment Disappoints In May After A Strong Run

CANADA DATA
  • Canada jobs growth was much weaker than expected in May at -17k (cons +21k) after 41k, the first decline in nine months but with the six-month average still at +50k and a margin of error of 31k.
  • Full-time positions led the decline with -33k after -6k with part-time roles adding +15k. It means that over the prior three months, full-time positions shrank by 20k whereas part-time roles have increased by 79k.
  • Unsurprisingly then hours worked have have come under pressure with May’s -0.4% M/M the fastest monthly decline since Apr’2022.
  • Labour force growth was however also on the softer side at +18k which limited the rise in the u/e rate from 4.99% to 5.15% (reported 5.2%), i.e. only a limited surprise compared to consensus of 5.1%. The BoC has been focused on labour market balance and this sees the u/e rate increase but only off July’s series low of 4.9%.

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