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GDP Growth Unchanged in Q4-2023 (Est: +0.6% Y/Y)

HUNGARY
  • Hungary’s preliminary reading of Q4-2024 GDP came in well-below expectations, unchanged both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter (Est: +0.6% y/y, +0.3% q/q). Due to this being the first reading of the data, a full breakdown of growth components is not provided, though the statistics office said the performance of the economy rose mainly in the farm, healthcare, social services and ICT sectors. This was countered by declines in the industrial and construction sectors and part of market services, it added.
  • The forint weakened following the data, with EURHUF back within close proximity to Tuesday’s post-CPI highs and 0.17% firmer on the day. Clearance of 390.49, the Jan 30 high, could expose 394.67, the Aug 3 2023 high. On the downside, a break of the 50-day EMA is required to reinstate a bearish theme instead. That average provided strong support recently as the cross has recovered from the early February lows.
  • The central bank’s January meeting minutes will take focus as monetary policy council members were divided about the size of the 75bp rate cut delivered last month, indicating dissenting votes for the first time since 2016. The minutes will be released at 13:00GMT/14:00CET.


Source: Hungarian Statistics Office

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