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GoCs Tracking Treasuries Cheaper Ahead Of US CPI

CANADA
  • GoCs have mostly tracked the cheapening in Tsys since their open, tilted to a slight steepening with 2YY +2bp and 10YY +2.5bp.
  • The continued climb in 2Y yields to ~4.72% sees them touch highs since early Aug 30 before rallies on a succession of softer than expected US data releases.
  • US CPI headlines at 0830ET, before 2Y supply at 1200ET with the re-open of the 4.5% Nov-25 after recent auctions have seen bid-to-cover at the lower end of historical readings. Today’s local data is limited to national balance sheet and financial flow accounts for Q2.
  • BoC-dated CORRA OIS pencils in +9.5bp for next month's meeting with a cumulative +14bp in Dec.

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