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Free AccessHSBC "think normalisation of the KRW.....>
KOREAN WON: HSBC "think normalisation of the KRW can happen when four conditions
are fulfilled:
-1) A stronger CNY on reduced US tariff threat
- 2) A further correction lower by the DXY index
- 3) A material improvement in exports growth
- 4) A resumption of equity inflows and unhedged bond inflows from foreign
investors
- In our view, the chances that some of these conditions will materialise in
H220 have risen. Others may take more time, perhaps in 2021. Hence, we lower our
USD/KRW forecast slightly, to KRW1,185 for end-2020 (from KRW1,210), and further
to KRW1,160 for end-2021 (from KRW1,210). Rising structural outflows by resident
investors (diversification into foreign assets) constrain us from turning more
constructive on the KRW."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.