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Inflation Easing Across Most Of The Region

ASIA

Most of non-Japan Asia has published February CPI data and generally there was an easing in price pressures. As a result the regional aggregate moderated to 3.1% y/y from 3.8% in January and the core to 1.5% from 1.9%. Excluding China there was still an easing in inflation to 5.6% (-0.1pp) and 4% (-0.2pp) respectively.

  • China’s CPI eased to 1.0% y/y from 2.1% the previous month while core was down to +0.6% y/y from 1% despite several months since reopening. See this link for more details.
  • Korea saw a moderation in headline CPI to 4.8% from 5.2%, the lowest since April 2022, and to 4.8% from 5% in core, but this was driven by agriculture and oils. Private services and non-industrial goods rose strongly.
  • Headline inflation in Indonesia rose in February to 5.5% y/y from 5.3% driven by higher food prices, which should moderate after Ramadan. Core eased to 3.1% from 3.3%, which is BI’s preferred measure, due to a broad based easing in price pressures.
  • Thai inflation fell significantly to 3.8% y/y from 5% driven by food prices and core components. Core eased to 1.9% from 3%. Disinflation is broad based which could make BoT’s tightening even more gradual.
  • While headline inflation in the Philippines moderated 0.1pp to 8.6%, core rose 0.4pp to 7.8%, the highest since end-2000. BSP will need to continue tightening given the broad based price pressures and robust demand.
  • India’s February CPI is released March 13, Singapore March 23 and Malaysia March 24. Inflation for these countries was kept constant in the regional aggregates.
Non-Japan Asia ex China CPI y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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