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Free AccessKılıçdaroğlu Holds Polling Lead Over Erdogan Two Months From Election
According to a new poll, Incumbent Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is trailing Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu of the center left CHP party, and centrist National Alliance grouping of six opposition parties, ahead of the May 14 presidential elections.
- Europe Elects: "Kılıçdaroğlu (CHP-S&D): 53% (-4) Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 42% (-1) İnce (MP-*): 3% (new) Oğan (*): 2% (new)"
- Muharrem Ince, who lost to Erdoğan in the 2018, has entered polls with 3% of the vote, raising opposition concerns he could split the anti-Erdogan vote.
- Ince said people “don’t have to embed us in some alliance. Let’s see what our campaign will bring about,” and said his campaign and may decide upon a course of action “two days before the elections.”
- Eurativ warns: "Despite these promising poll numbers for the opposition, there are concerns about Turkey’s democratic record and whether Erdoğan will be willing to give up power if defeated. His administration has faced accusations of eroding democratic norms in recent years, with critics claiming that he has been consolidating power and cracking down on political opposition."
Figure 1: Turkish Presidential Election Poll (11-15 March)
Source: Europe Elects
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.