Free Trial

Real-time Actionable Insight

Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.

Free Access

Laxalt Closes Polling Gap To Incumbent Democrat Senator Cortez Masto


A raft of new polls have shown that Republican Senate candidate Adam Laxalt has narrowed the gap to incumbent Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV).

  • The five most recent polls on FiveThirtyEight have shown Laxalt with a razor thin polling lead over Cortez Masto suggesting that the race has the potential to define which party controls the Senate in November.
    • Most recent poll from the Nevada Independent: Laxalt (R): 45% Cortez Masto (D): 43%.
  • The race likely to hinge on the vote of the sizeable Nevada Latino community. Laxalt campaign advisor Jesus Marquez said: "The Latino vote is going to help us get the victory in November. If we get 35%, that would mean a victory across the board but I estimate that we're going to get 40% of the Latino vote."
  • Democrat strategist Tory Gavito: "Latinos are in a constant persuasion window, they're actually some of the most persuadable voters we have in the electorate. When you tell them what Democrats are doing to support them in this economy, they will vote Democrat."
Figure 1: Nevada Senate Race, Polling Aggregate Over Time% (FiveThirtyEight)

To read the full story

Why Subscribe to


MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.